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    May 13

    Canines on parade

    'dogs' are ten a penny in the banking sector these days Much to the chagrin of Tiddles, Cityblogger spent a sweltering Sunday perusing the stalls at a local dog show. As he wandered about enjoying a 99 (one has to when it costs an extortionate £2!), Cityblogger’s eyes were drawn to a ridiculous spectacle – a pink skinned hairless little creature strutting along in a bright pink collar and lead and adorned in a wet tea towel. And it was this image which Cityblogger recalled this morning as he examined Alliance & Leicester’s howler of a trading statement.

    Stock market underachievers - ‘dogs’, as they are known in City parlance - are ten a penny in the banking sector. But A&L has grabbed the limelight after it became the latest bank to unveil hefty write-downs from the credit crunch. The credit squeeze cost the company £192m in write-downs on treasury and credit assets in the first four months of the year, and A&L is taking a further £199m post-tax asset write-down - higher than expected by analysts. What’s more, funding costs are also expected to rise to £150m this year. Unsurprisingly, the shares dipped by 7 per cent to 473.75p and are down a painful 60 per cent on the year. Ouch! Analyst James Hamilton at broker Numis described the trading statement as “terrible – as expected” and reduced his target price on the shares to 485p, stating that there is “better value elsewhere”. At least there’s no mention – as yet – of a rights issue…

    Another canine on show was Enterprise Inns, which unveiled half-year figures. Shares in the pub operator are already down 34 per cent on the year, and fell another 4 per cent today after pre-tax profits dipped by 33 per cent. Yet chief executive Ted Tuppen said this was a “solid” performance given the tough trading environment right now. And Richard Carter, analyst at broker Numis, reckons the company is holding up better than many of its peers as consumer cut back on leisure spending.

    A strong performance from European travel company TUI boosted the FTSE100 initially this morning, but worries about high UK inflation figures have pushed it back below the 6200 mark to 6144. Our Merv could soon have to put pen to paper and explain to Gordon Brown why inflation is so high.

    But commentators say market falls below 6200 – as also seen on Monday - are unlikely to be serious. “Like other recent forays below this psychological level, so far this has proved to be short lived,” says David Jones, chief market strategist at IG Index. “Recent slides back towards the 6150/6180 area have brought the buyers back out in droves – and for now it looks like only a prolonged move below here would suggest that the positive sentiment is starting to fade.”

    Here’s hoping!

     


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    mido bdranwrote:
    very good post
    but the picture is Terrible
    jobs hunter
    May 18
    Justin Clarkwrote:
    You were dead on with the FTSE, it met with 6150 and then bolted yesterday. The A&L results were pretty much as expected but the share price has taken a battering of late, amongst most other banks. I think libor's back up to 100bp over the base rate again, could this be why? On that matter, where's all the liquidity gone to? I don't understand this just as I don't understand why the price of oil keeps on making new highs, although I do understand is demand from emerging markets and speculators, and investors unwilling to invest in anything other than t-bonds. Possibly because they fear the ratings agencies are in cahoots to relieve them of their capital?

    Are these the only reasons for the recent turmoil?

    As to the pubs groups I think they really need to adapt or die. The smoking ban, on top of £3.50+ for a pint, was another nail in the coffin for the traditional British pub and they're not looking to healthy as property portfolios either.
    May 14

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